Forecasts
Dated forecasts, checked against sources
20 published forecasts on search, SI agents, social commerce and work. Each one is tied to a dated source and, where possible, assessed against evidence. No result is hidden: every forecast sits in exactly one group.
The forecasts were made in Turkish; titles here are translations, not verbatim quotes.
5 forecasts
Partly came true
Part of the claim happened; the rest is open.
- 18 January 2021Instagram will do away with the idea of followersRecord (Turkish) →
- 18 January 2021Purchases will be completed inside Instagram, without redirecting to a websiteRecord (Turkish) →
- 18 January 2021Sales will shift from e-commerce sites and marketplaces to social commerceRecord (Turkish) →
- UndatedSI will move from answering to doing workRecord (Turkish) →
- UndatedShopping will depend less on people browsing websitesRecord (Turkish) →
10 forecasts
In progress
Research found signals, but it is too early for a verdict.
- December 2019How resilient is a digital world that depends on Google?Record (Turkish) →
- 18 January 2021Instagram will become the world's largest storeRecord (Turkish) →
- UndatedCompanies that cannot adapt to technology will give way to new venturesRecord (Turkish) →
- 28 January 2022Virtual influencers will grow in brand communicationRecord (Turkish) →
- UndatedAutomation will spread in screen-based workRecord (Turkish) →
- UndatedControl over decisions may shift to SI systemsRecord (Turkish) →
- UndatedDependence on SI may weaken thinking skillsRecord (Turkish) →
- UndatedEducation will have to adapt to the skills of the SI ageRecord (Turkish) →
- UndatedExpertise will matter more in influencer impactRecord (Turkish) →
- UndatedCompanies may adapt more slowly than technology changesRecord (Turkish) →
1 forecast
Inconclusive
The period ended or the criterion is not defined in the source.
- UndatedThe claim that SI will handle 95% of creative tasks within two yearsRecord (Turkish) →
4 forecasts
Not yet assessed
No sourced research assessment yet.
- 2016Google will understand what we need before we searchRecord (Turkish) →
- UndatedSI and robots will become decisive in our search optimisation servicesRecord (Turkish) →
- 2025Ads in SI answers could change the balance of competitionRecord (Turkish) →
- 2025Google's classic search will give way to GeminiRecord (Turkish) →
How the forecasts are assessed
Each record keeps the original date and source, the criterion, the evidence and a change history. The method is published in Turkish.