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Research

Forecasts that are checked, reports that are dated

A public scorecard of Kaan Gülten's dated forecasts, Brantial's reports on how brands appear in SI answers, and an archive of talks and presentations, each with a source.

Forecast scorecard

20 published forecasts, 16 assessed with sources

Every published forecast sits in exactly one group, and empty groups are shown with zero: the point of a scorecard is that no result is hidden. Forecasts were made in Turkish; each one links to its dated record and evidence table.

  • 0Came trueShown with sources to have happened.
  • 5Partly came truePart of the claim happened; the rest is open.
  • 10In progressResearch found signals, but it is too early for a verdict.
  • 0Did not happen in timeThe stated period ended and the claim did not happen.
  • 0Contradicted by evidenceDevelopments point the other way.
  • 1InconclusiveThe period ended or the criterion is not defined in the source.
  • 4Not yet assessedNo sourced research assessment yet.

Full scorecard (Turkish) → Method (Turkish) →

Archives

Talks and presentations

96documented talks since 2014
34universities
22cities
288slides in 7 archived presentations

Talks archive (Turkish) → Presentations (Turkish) → Speaking →

Want the data behind a finding?

Questions about a forecast, a report or a talk: one address.